Kentucky Derby 2024: Improving Honor Marie can put it all together

Kentucky Derby 2024: Improving Honor Marie can put it all together

Category : News - Mon 29/04/2024 - 09:59 EDT

There is no race more exciting or more eagerly awaited than the Kentucky Derby, and it is coming up Saturday, May 4 at Churchill Downs! The purse has been raised to $5 million for its landmark 150th running, and 20 of the best sophomores in the country will line up in the gate for this 1 ¼-mile test. At stake are this colossal purse, the iconic blanket of roses, and a place in the history of horse racing.

Honor Marie To win the Kentucky Derby

The Kentucky Derby is always one of the best betting horse races of the year. With such a huge field trying a new and testing distance, enough long shots always run well to make the payouts on wagers huge for anyone who solves the handicapping puzzle. Keep reading to find out the best horses to bet in the Kentucky Derby, and the best places to bet the Kentucky Derby online in Illinois.

Betting the 2024 Kentucky Derby Online

Picking the right horses is important, but before you start thinking about the field you need to think about where to bet on it. After all, choosing the right online betting site helps you maximize your profit on the Kentucky Derby and beyond. By playing the race at a trusted online racebook, you can take advantage of market-leading odds, trusted payouts, and the convenience of betting from anywhere!

Online racebooks offer you lucrative betting bonuses that you’ll never find at the track. These include sign-up and deposit bonuses, referral benefits, and even horse racing rebates that pay you for every bet you make! Choosing the right bonus structure for your betting style can help you boost your bankroll by hundreds or even thousands of dollars, so take a few minutes to read our reviews and pick the best site for you!

These are the top Kentucky Derby betting sites for Illinois players:

Handicapping the 2024 Kentucky Derby

With your account set up, it is time to dive into the field for the 2024 Kentucky Derby!

2024 Kentucky Derby Horses

This is the official field for the 2024 Kentucky Derby including post positions, trainers, jockeys, and morning-line odds:

  1. Dornoch (Danny Gargan/Luis Saez) - 20/1
  2. Sierra Leone (Chad Brown/Tyler Gaffalione) - 3/1
  3. Mystik Dan (Kenny McPeek/Brian Hernandez, Jr.) - 20/1
  4. Catching Freedom (Brad Cox/Flavien Prat) - 8/1
  5. Catalytic (Saffie Joseph, Jr./Jose Ortiz) - 30/1
  6. Just Steel (D. Wayne Lukas/Keith Asmussen) - 20/1
  7. Honor Marie (Whit Beckman/Ben Curtis) - 20/1
  8. Just a Touch (Brad Cox/Florent Geroux) - 10/1
  9. Encino (Brad Cox/Axel Concepcion) - 20/1
  10. T O Password (Daisuke Takayanagi/Kazushi Kimura) - 30/1
  11. Forever Young (Yoshito Yahagi/Ryusei Sakei) - 10/1
  12. Track Phantom (Steve Asmussen/Joel Rosario) - 20-1
  13. West Saratoga (Larry Demeritte/Jesus Castanon) - 50/1
  14. Endlessly (Michael McCarthy/Umberto Rispoli) - 30/1
  15. Domestic Product (Chad Brown/Irad Ortiz) - 30/1
  16. Grand Mo the First (Victor Barboza, Jr./Emisael Jaramillo) - 50/1
  17. Fierceness (Todd Pletcher/John Velazquez) - 5/2
  18. Stronghold (Phil D'Amato/Antonio Fresu) - 20/1
  19. Resilience (Bill Mott/Junior Alvarado) - 20/1
  20. Society Man (Danny Gargan/Frankie Dettori) - 50/1
  21. Epic Ride (John Ennis/Adam Beschizza) - ALSO ELIGIBLE
  22. Mugatu (Jeff Engler/Joe Talamo) - ALSO ELIGIBLE

Epic Ride and Mugatu will only draw in, in that order of priority, if horses scratch from the main field before 9:00 a.m. Friday morning, when Kentucky Derby betting begins.

The morning line can be a useful guide to which horses in the field are expected to be well bet or long shots. However, they are not a guarantee, since odds on track will shift all the way until the gates open. Your best bet in the Kentucky Derby is to play at an online racebook, since you can get fixed odds on major races all year long. That means, when you see an overlay on your horse, you guarantee the price just by betting!

Here are the odds at the top of the Kentucky Derby market at the best Illinois sportsbooks:

Sierra Leone+400+330+300
Forever Young+850+1000+1000
Just a Touch+1100+1200+1000
Honor Marie+1600+2000+2000

2024 Kentucky Derby Best Bet

The best bet in the Kentucky Derby is Honor Marie. He has upside on many dimensions that are necessary to make a successful Kentucky Derby horse.

Honor Marie has been able to close well into modest paces -- but between rail-drawn Dornoch, blinkers-on Track Phantom, and outside presser Fierceness the pace should sizzle. Honor Marie drew a great middle gate. And, he found his best third off the lay last year; the Kentucky Derby has him at that same point in his form cycle, meaning he can improve from an already-good second in the Louisiana Derby.

Honor Marie To win the Kentucky Derby

Honor Marie also has a strong distance pedigree. He is by Honor Code out of a Smart Strike half to St. Leger (G1) winner Rule of Law; the Leger is the English Classic at 1 ¾ miles. Therefore, his improvement with distance should be no fluke, and with prices likely in the 12-1 to 15-1 range there’s a lot to love.

2024 Kentucky Derby Favorites

Sierra Leone and Catching Freedom appeal most among Kentucky Derby horses at the top of the market. Sierra Leone impressed with a long, sustained run in the Blue Grass (G1). That kind of trip could be a winning trip again, and his off-pace style should help him avoid trouble from the inner gate. Catching Freedom closed well to win the Louisiana Derby (G2), and jockey Flavien Prat has hit the board in five of six Kentucky Derby rides.

Sierra Leone To win the Kentucky Derby

The favorites to toss include Fierceness and Forever Young. Fierceness is brilliant with a perfect trip but looking back to his Holy Bull (G3) flop, not even this seemingly nice outside gate may keep him out of trouble. Forever Young is undefeated in five starts but he has yet to face top American dirt horses and his final prep, the UAE Derby (G2), has never had a Kentucky Derby runner do better than fifth.

2024 Kentucky Derby Exotics Horses

Encino has strong long shot appeal. Though his points preps were off the beaten path, the John Battaglia Memorial and the Lexington (G3), they were enough to show both his improving form and his ability to run well from either forward or midpack spots. His pedigree is also deep with classic dirt stamina, meaning the 1 ¼ miles should suit him perfectly.

For a horse to use in underneath rungs of trifectas or superfectas, Just Steel looks like just the ticket. With two wins in 11 starts he doesn’t prevail a lot, but he ran second in three of the four Oaklawn Park preps including the 1 ⅛-mile Arkansas Derby (G1). He should be able to drift behind the speed and find the stamina to keep going, and though he probably won’t hold them all off he is good enough to finish in the frame.

2024 Kentucky Derby Free Picks

You’ve made your betting account and you’ve gotten to know the field. This means you’re ready for the most fun part of all: placing your wagers! Here are the best bets for Saturday’s 2024 Kentucky Derby:

  • $20 win/place/show: #7 Honor Marie
  • $1 Exacta Key: #7 Honor Marie with #2 Sierra Leone, #4 Catching Freedom
  • $1 Trifecta Key: #7 Honor Marie with #2 Sierra Leone, #4 Catching Freedom, #6 Just Steel, #9 Encino
  • $1 Superfecta Key: #7 Honor Marie with #2 Sierra Leone, #4 Catching Freedom, #6 Just Steel, #9 Encino
Category : News

Leave a comment

More articles...
News - 02/05/23

Kentucky Derby 2023 Betting: Improving Mage is ready for the big time

Kentucky Derby 2023 Betting: Improving Mage is ready for the big time

The most important race of the year is coming up on Saturday, May 6: the $3 million Kentucky Derby! A field of 20 of the best three-year-old horses will clash […]

Read this article
News - 25/02/22

Newgrange Imposing in the Rebel

Newgrange Imposing in the Rebel

The race offers 50-20-10-5 Road to the Kentucky Derby points to the top four finishers. That 50-point bonanza to the winner means whoever crosses the wire first is virtually guaranteed a spot in the Kentucky […]

Read this article
News - 16/05/19

Preakness Stakes 2019

Preakness Stakes 2019

The field is set for the 2019 Preakness Stakes, and looking at the 13 rivals on paper is enough to make any serious handicapper's mouth water. There's simply a ton of betting value here.

Read this article
News - 02/05/19

Handicapping the 2019 Kentucky Derby

Handicapping the 2019 Kentucky Derby

Post positions have been drawn, and the oddsmakers have instilled Omaha Beach as the morning line favorite for the running of the 145th Kentucky Derby. The race goes Saturday, May 4th, with 20 runners set to battle 1 1/4 miles on the Churchill Downs dirt track, chasing a purse of $3 million and the first leg of the US Triple Crown.

Read this article